Thursday, 15 October 2026Trading beliefs, tested on decades of real prices
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MarketsStock indexUpdated 14 Oct 2026

DAX average return, best months and biggest falls since 2004

23 years of daily prices in numbers: the average year, the best and worst months, every big fall and how long the recovery took. Prices to 14 October 2026.

The DAX follows 40 of Germany's largest companies. Unlike most stock indices it counts dividends as reinvested, so its figures include them.

+530%Change since 2004
+8.4%A year on average
−55%Worst fall, 2007–2009
±0.6%Move on a typical day

On 14 October 2026, the DAX stood 4.8% below its record close, on 28 August 2026. Over the past twelve months its highest close was 19% above its lowest.

How far the DAX stood below its record high, week by week since 2004

0% means a new record high. Each point is the lowest daily close of the week (weekdays only), measured from the highest close before it. Hover or tap for any week.

The DAX average return over the last 5, 10 and 20 years

Over the last 10 years the DAX rose 9.1% a year on average, +139% in total. The table shows the average yearly return for each span up to 14 October 2026.

Average yearly return, to 14 Oct 2026
PeriodFromA year on averageIn total
Last 1 year14 Oct 2025+4.4%+4%
Last 3 years13 Oct 2023+18.5%+67%
Last 5 years14 Oct 2021+10.3%+64%
Last 10 years14 Oct 2016+9.1%+139%
Last 20 years13 Oct 2006+7.3%+310%

The average year

From 2005 to 2025, the DAX rose in 17 of 21 calendar years. The average year gained +10.4% and the median year +16.1%. The best year was 2012 (+29.1%), the worst 2008 (−40.4%). This year to 14 October: +3.3%.

2005+27%
2006+22%
2007+22%
2008−40%
2009+24%
2010+16%
2011−15%
2012+29%
2013+25%
2014+3%
2015+10%
2016+7%
2017+13%
2018−18%
2019+25%
2020+4%
2021+16%
2022−12%
2023+20%
2024+19%
2025+23%
2026*+3%

* Year to date.

Best and worst months

April has been the strongest month on average (+2.6%, higher in 17 of 23 years) and August the weakest (−1.3%, higher in 10 of 23). The gaps between months are small next to the swings inside any single month, so read them as tendencies, not rules.

Average change of the DAX by calendar month, 2004–2025

Average of each month's change from the last close of the month before. Hover or tap a bar for how often that month was higher.

Is the summer really weaker? We tested the old saying: Sell in May and go away.

The biggest falls, and how long the way back took

The deepest fall since 2004 took the DAX 54.8% below its high of 16 July 2007. It hit bottom on 6 March 2009 after 20 months, and it took another 4.2 years to close above the old high again, on 3 May 2013.

The five deepest falls since 2004
HighLowFallFall tookBack at the highRecovery took
16 Jul 20076 Mar 2009−54.8%20 months3 May 20134.2 years
19 Feb 202018 Mar 2020−38.8%28 days28 Dec 20209 months
10 Apr 201511 Feb 2016−29.3%10 months24 Apr 201714 months
5 Jan 202229 Sep 2022−26.4%9 months19 May 20238 months
23 Jan 201827 Dec 2018−23.4%11 months24 Jan 202013 months

How much it moves in a day

On a typical day the DAX closes about 0.6% higher or lower. A move of more than 2% happened on 9% of trading days, and a move of more than 5% 37 times in 5,788 days. The largest rise was +11.4% on 13 October 2008; the largest fall −12.2% on 12 March 2020.

By day of the week
DayAverage changeDays higherDays counted
Monday+0.04%53%1,137
Tuesday+0.08%54%1,169
Wednesday+0.08%55%1,169
Thursday−0.01%53%1,168
Friday0.00%53%1,145

Differences between weekdays are small and change from decade to decade. They are not a reason to trade on a given day.

Questions people ask

What is the best month for the DAX?

No month is reliable. Since 2004, April has been the strongest on average (+2.6%, higher in 17 of 23 years) and August the weakest.

What is the average return of the DAX over the last 10 years?

+9.1% a year from 14 October 2016 to 14 October 2026, +139% in total.

How much has the DAX gained since 2004?

From 2 January 2004 to 14 October 2026: +530% in total, or +8.4% a year.

What was the biggest fall in the DAX?

−54.8% from 16 July 2007 to 6 March 2009; it was back at its high on 3 May 2013.

How much does the DAX move in a day?

About 0.6% on a typical day. Days with a move of more than 2% made up 9% of all trading days since 2004.

About these numbers

The DAX figures include reinvested dividends, as the index itself does. Daily closing prices from 2 January 2004 to 14 October 2026. Before use, the series was checked for gaps and for jumps that are data errors rather than market moves.

This page describes past prices. It is not advice to buy or sell anything.

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