Thursday, 15 October 2026Trading beliefs, tested on decades of real prices
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MarketsCurrenciesUpdated 15 Oct 2026

USD/CAD since 1999: yearly changes, best months and the biggest falls

28 years of daily prices in numbers: the average year, the best and worst months, every big fall and how long the recovery took. Prices to 15 October 2026.

The US dollar against the Canadian dollar, a pair that often moves with the price of oil. A rising rate means a stronger US dollar.

−7%Change since 1999
−0.3%A year on average
−44%Worst fall, 2002–2007
±0.3%Move on a typical day
21 pipsTypical change a day, past 12 months

On 15 October 2026, USD/CAD stood 12.2% below its highest close since 1999, on 21 January 2002. Over the past twelve months its highest close was 5% above its lowest.

How far USD/CAD stood below its highest close, week by week since 1999

0% means a new high for the period. Each point is the lowest daily close of the week (weekdays only), measured from the highest close before it. Hover or tap for any week.

USD/CAD average change over the last 5, 10 and 20 years

Over the last 10 years USD/CAD rose 0.8% a year on average, +8% in total. The table shows the average yearly change for each span up to 15 October 2026.

Average yearly change, to 15 Oct 2026
PeriodFromA year on averageIn total
Last 1 year15 Oct 2025+1.2%+1%
Last 3 years13 Oct 2023+1.3%+4%
Last 5 years15 Oct 2021+2.8%+15%
Last 10 years14 Oct 2016+0.8%+8%
Last 20 years13 Oct 2006+1.1%+25%

The average year

From 2000 to 2025, USD/CAD rose in 10 of 26 calendar years. The average year gained +0.2% and the median year −1.6%. The best year was 2008 (+24.4%), the worst 2003 (−18.6%). This year to 15 October: +3.8%.

2000+3%
2001+6%
2002−1%
2003−19%
2004−6%
2005−3%
20060%
2007−15%
2008+24%
2009−14%
2010−5%
2011+2%
2012−3%
2013+7%
2014+9%
2015+20%
2016−3%
2017−7%
2018+9%
2019−5%
2020−2%
20210%
2022+7%
2023−2%
2024+9%
2025−5%
2026*+4%

* Year to date.

Best and worst months

January has been the strongest month on average (+0.6%, higher in 17 of 27 years) and April the weakest (−1.2%, higher in 8 of 28). The gaps between months are small next to the swings inside any single month, so read them as tendencies, not rules.

Average change of USD/CAD by calendar month, 1999–2025

Average of each month's change from the last close of the month before. Hover or tap a bar for how often that month was higher.

The biggest falls, and how long the way back took

The deepest fall since 1999 took USD/CAD 43.9% below its high of 21 January 2002, with the low on 7 November 2007. It has not closed above that high since.

The five deepest falls since 1999
HighLowFallFall tookBack at the highRecovery took
21 Jan 20027 Nov 2007−43.9%5.8 yearsnot yet18.9 years so far
13 Jan 199927 Jan 2000−6.9%12 months10 Nov 20009 months
3 Apr 20013 Jul 2001−4.4%3 months31 Oct 20014 months
21 Nov 200012 Jan 2001−4.2%52 days15 Mar 20012 months
12 Nov 200117 Dec 2001−2.5%35 days11 Jan 200225 days

How much it moves in a day

On a typical day USD/CAD closes about 0.3% higher or lower. A move of more than 2% happened on 1% of trading days, and a move of more than 5% 0 times in 7,114 days. The largest rise was +3.7% on 22 October 2008; the largest fall −4.3% on 30 October 2008.

By day of the week
DayAverage changeDays higherDays counted
Monday−0.01%49%1,405
Tuesday+0.01%50%1,434
Wednesday−0.01%49%1,434
Thursday−0.02%47%1,434
Friday+0.02%50%1,407

Differences between weekdays are small and change from decade to decade. They are not a reason to trade on a given day.

Questions people ask

What is the best month for USD/CAD?

No month is reliable. Since 1999, January has been the strongest on average (+0.6%, higher in 17 of 27 years) and April the weakest.

How much has USD/CAD gained since 1999?

From 4 January 1999 to 15 October 2026: −7% in total, or −0.3% a year.

What was the biggest fall in USD/CAD?

−43.9% from 21 January 2002 to 7 November 2007; it has not recovered yet.

How much does USD/CAD move in a day?

About 0.3% on a typical day. Days with a move of more than 2% made up 1% of all trading days since 1999.

How many pips does USD/CAD move in a day?

From one ECB reference rate to the next, the median change was 21 pips over the past twelve months and 36 pips since 1999. A pip here is 0.0001. The distance between a day's high and low is larger.

About these numbers

Source: the European Central Bank's daily reference rates, one rate each working day, set in the early afternoon in Frankfurt; the US dollar pairs are computed from the euro rates. Daily reference rates from 4 January 1999 to 15 October 2026. Before use, the series was checked for gaps and for jumps that are data errors rather than market moves. Reference rates are set once a day, so a fast day in the market can look different from the close of a trading platform.

This page describes past prices. It is not advice to buy or sell anything.

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